Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.048484 0.052704 0.056977 0.061620 0.066518 0.071523 0.077018
2025-06-22 0.042036 0.048242 0.054753 0.062065 0.070023 0.078394 0.087840
2025-06-29 0.036815 0.044382 0.052575 0.062042 0.072620 0.084017 0.097165
2025-07-06 0.033835 0.042580 0.052307 0.063821 0.076967 0.091405 0.108355
2025-07-13 0.030058 0.039479 0.050242 0.063278 0.078468 0.095449 0.115705
2025-07-20 0.027283 0.037278 0.048976 0.063437 0.080593 0.100068 0.123613
2025-07-27 0.025332 0.035878 0.048494 0.064375 0.083510 0.105516 0.132429
2025-08-03 0.023933 0.035028 0.048565 0.065882 0.087032 0.111633 0.142014
2025-08-10 0.020991 0.032001 0.045765 0.063717 0.085999 0.112264 0.145072
2025-08-17 0.019098 0.030199 0.044376 0.063180 0.086845 0.115056 0.150631
2025-08-24 0.017382 0.028506 0.043019 0.062585 0.087538 0.117602 0.155853
2025-08-31 0.016823 0.028354 0.043636 0.064487 0.091335 0.123929 0.165665
2025-09-07 0.015972 0.027767 0.043676 0.065673 0.094294 0.129331 0.174503
2025-09-14 0.015014 0.026963 0.043378 0.066386 0.096643 0.133992 0.182476
2025-09-21 0.013921 0.025888 0.042651 0.066481 0.098166 0.137615 0.189183
2025-09-28 0.013517 0.025813 0.043292 0.068405 0.102068 0.144242 0.199653
2025-10-05 0.012371 0.024525 0.042158 0.067863 0.102702 0.146720 0.204949
2025-10-12 0.011535 0.023661 0.041581 0.068044 0.104261 0.150357 0.211697
2025-10-19 0.010995 0.023232 0.041604 0.069034 0.106883 0.155354 0.220170
2025-10-26 0.010654 0.023104 0.042055 0.070619 0.110306 0.161397 0.230001
2025-11-02 0.009338 0.021248 0.039841 0.068348 0.108452 0.160560 0.231041
2025-11-09 0.008550 0.020235 0.038854 0.067786 0.108886 0.162674 0.235839
2025-11-16 0.007809 0.019247 0.037853 0.067161 0.109201 0.164609 0.240395